The AUD/USD pair added to Tuesday's uptick and trespassed the 0.6300 hurdle despite a decent rebound in the Greenback. The pair extended gains on Wednesday, supported by softening United States (US) inflation data, which bolstered expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may adjust interest rates sooner than previously anticipated. While the US Dollar (USD) attempted a recovery, risk sentiment remained favorable for the Australian Dollar (AUD), opening the door for a potential test of the monthly highs near 0.6360.
Australian Dollar extends gains as US CPI weakens
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation slowed faster than anticipated in February, with headline CPI inflation declining to 0.2% month-over-month and 2.8% year-over-year.
The cooling inflation data, while still above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, reinforced expectations of potential policy adjustments. Fed rate markets now price in better-than-even odds of a rate cut by June, shifting from the previous consensus of July.
US trade policy remains in focus as President Donald Trump reiterated his intent to impose tariffs on imported cars. During a meeting with Irish Prime Minister Micheál Martin, Trump emphasized that the European Union has been "tough" on US trade, suggesting potential further protectionist measures. The comments fueled market uncertainty regarding upcoming trade negotiations.
The Australian Dollar remained resilient despite ongoing US-China trade tensions. Concerns persist that escalating tariffs could significantly impact Australian business activity, given Australia's heavy reliance on exports to China. So far, the US has imposed 20% tariffs on Chinese imports, and the risk of additional measures remains.

Source: Fxstreet